Chiba Bank Ltd Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 37.3
| CHBAY Stock | USD 37.68 0.00 0.00% |
Chiba |
Chiba Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 37.3
The tendency of Chiba Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 37.30 in 90 days |
| 37.68 | 90 days | 37.30 | about 71.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chiba Bank to stay above $ 37.30 in 90 days from now is about 71.48 (This Chiba Bank Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Chiba Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chiba Bank price to stay between $ 37.30 and its current price of $37.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Chiba Bank has a beta of 0.0129 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chiba Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chiba Bank Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chiba Bank Ltd has an alpha of 0.0188, implying that it can generate a 0.0188 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chiba Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chiba Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chiba Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chiba Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chiba Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chiba Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chiba Bank Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chiba Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Chiba Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chiba Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chiba Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chiba Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Chiba Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chiba Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chiba Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chiba Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 148.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.2 T |
Chiba Bank Technical Analysis
Chiba Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chiba Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chiba Bank Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chiba Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chiba Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Chiba Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chiba Bank's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chiba Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chiba Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chiba Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chiba Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chiba Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Additional Tools for Chiba Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Chiba Bank's price analysis, check to measure Chiba Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chiba Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Chiba Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chiba Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chiba Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chiba Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.