Chicos FAS Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.28

CHSDelisted Stock  USD 5.85  0.18  3.17%   
Chicos FAS's future price is the expected price of Chicos FAS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Chicos FAS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
  
Please specify Chicos FAS's target price for which you would like Chicos FAS odds to be computed.

Chicos FAS Target Price Odds to finish over 5.28

The tendency of Chicos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 5.28  in 90 days
 5.85 90 days 5.28 
about 51.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chicos FAS to stay above $ 5.28  in 90 days from now is about 51.38 (This Chicos FAS probability density function shows the probability of Chicos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chicos FAS price to stay between $ 5.28  and its current price of $5.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.7 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Chicos FAS has a beta of -0.25 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Chicos FAS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Chicos FAS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Chicos FAS has an alpha of 0.1965, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Chicos FAS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chicos FAS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chicos FAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.855.855.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.694.696.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.895.895.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.555.675.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chicos FAS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chicos FAS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chicos FAS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chicos FAS.

Chicos FAS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chicos FAS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chicos FAS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chicos FAS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chicos FAS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Chicos FAS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chicos FAS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chicos FAS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chicos FAS is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Chicos FAS has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Chicos FAS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chicos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chicos FAS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chicos FAS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding124 M
Cash And Short Term Investments178.1 M

Chicos FAS Technical Analysis

Chicos FAS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chicos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chicos FAS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chicos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Chicos FAS Predictive Forecast Models

Chicos FAS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chicos FAS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chicos FAS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Chicos FAS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chicos FAS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chicos FAS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chicos FAS is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Chicos FAS has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

Other Consideration for investing in Chicos Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Chicos FAS check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Chicos FAS's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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