Cosco Shipping Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 4.29

CICOY Stock  USD 7.25  0.01  0.14%   
COSCO SHIPPING's future price is the expected price of COSCO SHIPPING instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out COSCO SHIPPING Backtesting, COSCO SHIPPING Valuation, COSCO SHIPPING Correlation, COSCO SHIPPING Hype Analysis, COSCO SHIPPING Volatility, COSCO SHIPPING History as well as COSCO SHIPPING Performance.
  
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COSCO SHIPPING Target Price Odds to finish below 4.29

The tendency of COSCO Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.29  or more in 90 days
 7.25 90 days 4.29 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COSCO SHIPPING to drop to $ 4.29  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This COSCO SHIPPING Holdings probability density function shows the probability of COSCO Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings price to stay between $ 4.29  and its current price of $7.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon COSCO SHIPPING Holdings has a beta of -0.41 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding COSCO SHIPPING are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally COSCO SHIPPING Holdings has an alpha of 0.3282, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   COSCO SHIPPING Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for COSCO SHIPPING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COSCO SHIPPING Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.237.2510.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.056.079.09
Details

COSCO SHIPPING Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COSCO SHIPPING is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COSCO SHIPPING's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COSCO SHIPPING within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

COSCO SHIPPING Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of COSCO Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential COSCO SHIPPING's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. COSCO SHIPPING's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16 B

COSCO SHIPPING Technical Analysis

COSCO SHIPPING's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COSCO Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing COSCO Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

COSCO SHIPPING Predictive Forecast Models

COSCO SHIPPING's time-series forecasting models is one of many COSCO SHIPPING's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COSCO SHIPPING's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards COSCO SHIPPING in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, COSCO SHIPPING's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from COSCO SHIPPING options trading.

Additional Tools for COSCO Pink Sheet Analysis

When running COSCO SHIPPING's price analysis, check to measure COSCO SHIPPING's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COSCO SHIPPING is operating at the current time. Most of COSCO SHIPPING's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COSCO SHIPPING's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COSCO SHIPPING's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COSCO SHIPPING to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.