COMINTL BANK (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.27
| CIN0 Stock | 1.28 0.01 0.79% |
COMINTL |
COMINTL BANK Target Price Odds to finish below 1.27
The tendency of COMINTL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.27 or more in 90 days |
| 1.28 | 90 days | 1.27 | about 39.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COMINTL BANK to drop to 1.27 or more in 90 days from now is about 39.34 (This COMINTL BANK ADR1 probability density function shows the probability of COMINTL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COMINTL BANK ADR1 price to stay between 1.27 and its current price of 1.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon COMINTL BANK ADR1 has a beta of -0.5 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding COMINTL BANK are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, COMINTL BANK ADR1 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally COMINTL BANK ADR1 has an alpha of 0.0268, implying that it can generate a 0.0268 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). COMINTL BANK Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for COMINTL BANK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COMINTL BANK ADR1. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.COMINTL BANK Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COMINTL BANK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COMINTL BANK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COMINTL BANK ADR1, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COMINTL BANK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
COMINTL BANK Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COMINTL BANK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COMINTL BANK ADR1 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| COMINTL BANK ADR1 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| COMINTL BANK ADR1 may become a speculative penny stock |
COMINTL BANK Technical Analysis
COMINTL BANK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COMINTL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COMINTL BANK ADR1. In general, you should focus on analyzing COMINTL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
COMINTL BANK Predictive Forecast Models
COMINTL BANK's time-series forecasting models is one of many COMINTL BANK's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COMINTL BANK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about COMINTL BANK ADR1
Checking the ongoing alerts about COMINTL BANK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COMINTL BANK ADR1 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| COMINTL BANK ADR1 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| COMINTL BANK ADR1 may become a speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in COMINTL Stock
COMINTL BANK financial ratios help investors to determine whether COMINTL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COMINTL with respect to the benefits of owning COMINTL BANK security.