Columbia College Ag Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.68

CLAGX Fund  USD 11.70  0.02  0.17%   
Columbia College's future price is the expected price of Columbia College instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Columbia College Ag performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Columbia College Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Columbia College Correlation, Columbia College Hype Analysis, Columbia College Volatility, Columbia College History as well as Columbia College Performance.
  
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Columbia College Target Price Odds to finish below 11.68

The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.68  or more in 90 days
 11.70 90 days 11.68 
about 54.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia College to drop to $ 11.68  or more in 90 days from now is about 54.77 (This Columbia College Ag probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia College price to stay between $ 11.68  and its current price of $11.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.69 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia College has a beta of 0.0187 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Columbia College average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Columbia College Ag will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Columbia College Ag has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Columbia College Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Columbia College

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia College. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5411.7011.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5311.6911.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Columbia College. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Columbia College's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Columbia College's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Columbia College.

Columbia College Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia College is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia College's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia College Ag, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia College within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0072
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.91

Columbia College Technical Analysis

Columbia College's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia College Ag. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Columbia College Predictive Forecast Models

Columbia College's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia College's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia College's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Columbia College in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Columbia College's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Columbia College options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund

Columbia College financial ratios help investors to determine whether Columbia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Columbia with respect to the benefits of owning Columbia College security.
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