Cloudcoco Group (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01

CLCO Stock   0.28  0.02  7.69%   
Cloudcoco Group's future price is the expected price of Cloudcoco Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cloudcoco Group PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cloudcoco Group Backtesting, Cloudcoco Group Valuation, Cloudcoco Group Correlation, Cloudcoco Group Hype Analysis, Cloudcoco Group Volatility, Cloudcoco Group History as well as Cloudcoco Group Performance.
  
Please specify Cloudcoco Group's target price for which you would like Cloudcoco Group odds to be computed.

Cloudcoco Group Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of Cloudcoco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.28 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cloudcoco Group to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cloudcoco Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of Cloudcoco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cloudcoco Group PLC price to stay between  0.01  and its current price of 0.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.24 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cloudcoco Group will likely underperform. In addition to that Cloudcoco Group PLC has an alpha of 2.013, implying that it can generate a 2.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cloudcoco Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cloudcoco Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cloudcoco Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0025.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0025.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.3725.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.200.280.37
Details

Cloudcoco Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cloudcoco Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cloudcoco Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cloudcoco Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cloudcoco Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones4.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Cloudcoco Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cloudcoco Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cloudcoco Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cloudcoco Group PLC is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Cloudcoco Group PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cloudcoco Group PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Cloudcoco Group PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 25.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.95 M.
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Cloudcoco Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cloudcoco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cloudcoco Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cloudcoco Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding706.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments794 K

Cloudcoco Group Technical Analysis

Cloudcoco Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cloudcoco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cloudcoco Group PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cloudcoco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cloudcoco Group Predictive Forecast Models

Cloudcoco Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cloudcoco Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cloudcoco Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cloudcoco Group PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cloudcoco Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cloudcoco Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cloudcoco Group PLC is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Cloudcoco Group PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cloudcoco Group PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Cloudcoco Group PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 25.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.95 M.
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Cloudcoco Stock Analysis

When running Cloudcoco Group's price analysis, check to measure Cloudcoco Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cloudcoco Group is operating at the current time. Most of Cloudcoco Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cloudcoco Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cloudcoco Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cloudcoco Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.