Celebi Hava (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1315.74
| CLEBI Stock | TRY 1,917 6.00 0.31% |
Celebi |
Celebi Hava Target Price Odds to finish over 1315.74
The tendency of Celebi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1,316 in 90 days |
| 1,917 | 90 days | 1,316 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Celebi Hava to stay above 1,316 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Celebi Hava Servisi probability density function shows the probability of Celebi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Celebi Hava Servisi price to stay between 1,316 and its current price of 1917.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Celebi Hava has a beta of 0.53 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Celebi Hava average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Celebi Hava Servisi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Celebi Hava Servisi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Celebi Hava Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Celebi Hava
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Celebi Hava Servisi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Celebi Hava Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Celebi Hava is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Celebi Hava's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Celebi Hava Servisi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Celebi Hava within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 165.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Celebi Hava Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Celebi Hava for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Celebi Hava Servisi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Celebi Hava Servisi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Celebi Hava Servisi has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Celebi Hava Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Celebi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Celebi Hava's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Celebi Hava's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.3 M |
Celebi Hava Technical Analysis
Celebi Hava's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Celebi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Celebi Hava Servisi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Celebi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Celebi Hava Predictive Forecast Models
Celebi Hava's time-series forecasting models is one of many Celebi Hava's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Celebi Hava's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Celebi Hava Servisi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Celebi Hava for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Celebi Hava Servisi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Celebi Hava Servisi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Celebi Hava Servisi has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Celebi Stock
Celebi Hava financial ratios help investors to determine whether Celebi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Celebi with respect to the benefits of owning Celebi Hava security.