Climeon AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.45

CLIME-B Stock  SEK 0.33  0.02  5.71%   
Climeon AB's future price is the expected price of Climeon AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Climeon AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Climeon AB Backtesting, Climeon AB Valuation, Climeon AB Correlation, Climeon AB Hype Analysis, Climeon AB Volatility, Climeon AB History as well as Climeon AB Performance.
  
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Climeon AB Target Price Odds to finish over 0.45

The tendency of Climeon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 0.45  or more in 90 days
 0.33 90 days 0.45 
about 66.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Climeon AB to move over kr 0.45  or more in 90 days from now is about 66.43 (This Climeon AB probability density function shows the probability of Climeon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Climeon AB price to stay between its current price of kr 0.33  and kr 0.45  at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Climeon AB has a beta of 0.35 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Climeon AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Climeon AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Climeon AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Climeon AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Climeon AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Climeon AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Climeon AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.354.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.344.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.454.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.340.360.37
Details

Climeon AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Climeon AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Climeon AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Climeon AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Climeon AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Climeon AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Climeon AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Climeon AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Climeon AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Climeon AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Climeon AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 28.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (107.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.99 M.
Climeon AB has accumulated about 213.91 M in cash with (126.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.34, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Climeon AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Climeon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Climeon AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Climeon AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding55.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments152 M

Climeon AB Technical Analysis

Climeon AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Climeon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Climeon AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Climeon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Climeon AB Predictive Forecast Models

Climeon AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Climeon AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Climeon AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Climeon AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Climeon AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Climeon AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Climeon AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Climeon AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Climeon AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 28.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (107.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.99 M.
Climeon AB has accumulated about 213.91 M in cash with (126.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.34, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Climeon Stock

Climeon AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Climeon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Climeon with respect to the benefits of owning Climeon AB security.