Catalyst Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.61
| CLST Stock | USD 11.65 0.13 1.13% |
Catalyst |
Catalyst Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 8.61
The tendency of Catalyst Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.61 or more in 90 days |
| 11.65 | 90 days | 8.61 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catalyst Bancorp to drop to $ 8.61 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Catalyst Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Catalyst Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Catalyst Bancorp price to stay between $ 8.61 and its current price of $11.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.72 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Catalyst Bancorp has a beta of -0.0315 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Catalyst Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Catalyst Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Catalyst Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0813, implying that it can generate a 0.0813 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Catalyst Bancorp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Catalyst Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catalyst Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Catalyst Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Catalyst Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catalyst Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catalyst Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catalyst Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catalyst Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Catalyst Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catalyst Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catalyst Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Catalyst Bancorp currently holds 19.38 M in liabilities. Catalyst Bancorp has a current ratio of 0.09, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Catalyst Bancorp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Acquisition by Zanco Joseph B of 8333 shares of Catalyst Bancorp at 11.791 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Catalyst Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Catalyst Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Catalyst Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Catalyst Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 74.2 M | |
| Shares Float | 3.5 M |
Catalyst Bancorp Technical Analysis
Catalyst Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Catalyst Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Catalyst Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Catalyst Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Catalyst Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Catalyst Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Catalyst Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Catalyst Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Catalyst Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Catalyst Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Catalyst Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Catalyst Bancorp currently holds 19.38 M in liabilities. Catalyst Bancorp has a current ratio of 0.09, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Catalyst Bancorp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Acquisition by Zanco Joseph B of 8333 shares of Catalyst Bancorp at 11.791 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Catalyst Stock Analysis
When running Catalyst Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Catalyst Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Catalyst Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Catalyst Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Catalyst Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Catalyst Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Catalyst Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.