Canadian Imperial Bank Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 62.55
| CM Stock | CAD 90.65 0.89 0.97% |
Canadian |
Canadian Imperial Target Price Odds to finish below 62.55
The tendency of Canadian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 62.55 or more in 90 days |
| 90.65 | 90 days | 62.55 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Canadian Imperial to drop to C$ 62.55 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Canadian Imperial Bank probability density function shows the probability of Canadian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Canadian Imperial Bank price to stay between C$ 62.55 and its current price of C$90.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Canadian Imperial Bank has a beta of -0.0064 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Canadian Imperial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Canadian Imperial Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Canadian Imperial Bank has an alpha of 0.1623, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Canadian Imperial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Canadian Imperial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canadian Imperial Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Canadian Imperial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Canadian Imperial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Canadian Imperial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Canadian Imperial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Canadian Imperial Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Canadian Imperial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0064 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Canadian Imperial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Canadian Imperial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Canadian Imperial Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Selling Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Senior Officer Sells 1,000 Shares of Stock - MarketBeat |
Canadian Imperial Technical Analysis
Canadian Imperial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Canadian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Canadian Imperial Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Canadian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Canadian Imperial Predictive Forecast Models
Canadian Imperial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Canadian Imperial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Canadian Imperial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Canadian Imperial Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Canadian Imperial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Canadian Imperial Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Selling Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Senior Officer Sells 1,000 Shares of Stock - MarketBeat |
Check out Canadian Imperial Backtesting, Canadian Imperial Valuation, Canadian Imperial Correlation, Canadian Imperial Hype Analysis, Canadian Imperial Volatility, Canadian Imperial History as well as Canadian Imperial Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.