Comcast (Mexico) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 791.51

CMCSA Stock  MXN 799.50  0.50  0.06%   
Comcast's future price is the expected price of Comcast instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Comcast performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Comcast Backtesting, Comcast Valuation, Comcast Correlation, Comcast Hype Analysis, Comcast Volatility, Comcast History as well as Comcast Performance.
  
Please specify Comcast's target price for which you would like Comcast odds to be computed.

Comcast Target Price Odds to finish over 791.51

The tendency of Comcast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  791.51  in 90 days
 799.50 90 days 791.51 
about 64.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Comcast to stay above  791.51  in 90 days from now is about 64.58 (This Comcast probability density function shows the probability of Comcast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Comcast price to stay between  791.51  and its current price of 799.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Comcast has a beta of 0.43 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Comcast average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Comcast will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Comcast has an alpha of 0.0797, implying that it can generate a 0.0797 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Comcast Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Comcast

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comcast. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
796.68799.50802.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
704.06706.88879.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
786.22789.03791.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
792.72862.92933.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Comcast. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Comcast's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Comcast's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Comcast.

Comcast Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Comcast is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Comcast's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Comcast, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Comcast within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
45.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Comcast Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Comcast for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Comcast can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Comcast has accumulated 93.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.07, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Comcast has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Comcast until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Comcast's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Comcast sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Comcast to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Comcast's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 89.0% of Comcast shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Comcast Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Comcast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Comcast's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comcast's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.2 B

Comcast Technical Analysis

Comcast's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Comcast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Comcast. In general, you should focus on analyzing Comcast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Comcast Predictive Forecast Models

Comcast's time-series forecasting models is one of many Comcast's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Comcast's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Comcast

Checking the ongoing alerts about Comcast for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Comcast help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Comcast has accumulated 93.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.07, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Comcast has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Comcast until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Comcast's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Comcast sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Comcast to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Comcast's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 89.0% of Comcast shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Comcast Stock

Comcast financial ratios help investors to determine whether Comcast Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Comcast with respect to the benefits of owning Comcast security.