Comcast Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.52
| CMCSA Stock | USD 37.93 0.32 0.84% |
Comcast |
Comcast Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 37.52
The tendency of Comcast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 37.52 or more in 90 days |
| 37.93 | 90 days | 37.52 | about 1.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Comcast Corp to drop to $ 37.52 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.01 (This Comcast Corp probability density function shows the probability of Comcast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Comcast Corp price to stay between $ 37.52 and its current price of $37.93 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Comcast Corp has a beta of -0.0719 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Comcast Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Comcast Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Comcast Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Comcast Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Comcast Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comcast Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comcast Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Comcast Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Comcast Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Comcast Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Comcast Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Comcast Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Comcast Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Comcast Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Comcast Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Comcast Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Comcast Corp has accumulated 97.09 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.2, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Comcast Corp has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Comcast Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 87.0% of Comcast Corp shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Comcast Outperforms Broader Market What You Need to Know |
Comcast Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Comcast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Comcast Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comcast Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.2 B |
Comcast Corp Technical Analysis
Comcast Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Comcast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Comcast Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Comcast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Comcast Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Comcast Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Comcast Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Comcast Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Comcast Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Comcast Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Comcast Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Comcast Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Comcast Corp has accumulated 97.09 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.2, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Comcast Corp has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Comcast Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 87.0% of Comcast Corp shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Comcast Outperforms Broader Market What You Need to Know |
Check out Comcast Corp Backtesting, Comcast Corp Valuation, Comcast Corp Correlation, Comcast Corp Hype Analysis, Comcast Corp Volatility, Comcast Corp History as well as Comcast Corp Performance. For information on how to trade Comcast Stock refer to our How to Trade Comcast Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Cable & Satellite space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comcast Corp. If investors know Comcast will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Comcast Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 1.22 | Earnings Share 3.71 | Revenue Per Share 31.292 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.065 |
The market value of Comcast Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comcast that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comcast Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comcast Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comcast Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comcast Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Comcast Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Comcast Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comcast Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.