Calvert Mid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 42.18

CMJAX Fund  USD 44.45  0.10  0.22%   
Calvert Us' future price is the expected price of Calvert Us instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Calvert Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Calvert Us Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Calvert Us Correlation, Calvert Us Hype Analysis, Calvert Us Volatility, Calvert Us History as well as Calvert Us Performance.
  
Please specify Calvert Us' target price for which you would like Calvert Us odds to be computed.

Calvert Us Target Price Odds to finish below 42.18

The tendency of Calvert Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 42.18  or more in 90 days
 44.45 90 days 42.18 
about 54.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calvert Us to drop to $ 42.18  or more in 90 days from now is about 54.54 (This Calvert Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Calvert Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calvert Mid Cap price to stay between $ 42.18  and its current price of $44.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.02 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Calvert Us has a beta of 0.94 suggesting Calvert Mid Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Calvert Us is expected to follow. Additionally Calvert Mid Cap has an alpha of 0.0202, implying that it can generate a 0.0202 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Calvert Us Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Calvert Us

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calvert Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.6944.4545.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.1443.9044.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.0444.7945.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43.1743.9944.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Calvert Us. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Calvert Us' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Calvert Us' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Calvert Mid Cap.

Calvert Us Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calvert Us is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calvert Us' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calvert Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calvert Us within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
1.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Calvert Us Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calvert Us for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calvert Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Calvert Us Technical Analysis

Calvert Us' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calvert Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calvert Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calvert Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Calvert Us Predictive Forecast Models

Calvert Us' time-series forecasting models is one of many Calvert Us' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calvert Us' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Calvert Mid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Calvert Us for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calvert Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Calvert Mutual Fund

Calvert Us financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calvert Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calvert with respect to the benefits of owning Calvert Us security.
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