Cinemark Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.89
| CNK Stock | USD 30.71 0.22 0.72% |
Cinemark |
Cinemark Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 38.89
The tendency of Cinemark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 38.89 or more in 90 days |
| 30.71 | 90 days | 38.89 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cinemark Holdings to move over $ 38.89 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cinemark Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Cinemark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cinemark Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 30.71 and $ 38.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.54 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Cinemark Holdings has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cinemark Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cinemark Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cinemark Holdings has an alpha of 0.1628, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cinemark Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cinemark Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cinemark Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cinemark Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cinemark Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cinemark Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cinemark Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cinemark Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Cinemark Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cinemark Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cinemark Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cinemark Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Carnival Q4 Earnings Revenues Top Estimates, Increase YY |
Cinemark Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cinemark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cinemark Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cinemark Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 849.1 M |
Cinemark Holdings Technical Analysis
Cinemark Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cinemark Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cinemark Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cinemark Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cinemark Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Cinemark Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cinemark Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cinemark Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cinemark Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cinemark Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cinemark Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cinemark Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Carnival Q4 Earnings Revenues Top Estimates, Increase YY |
Check out Cinemark Holdings Backtesting, Cinemark Holdings Valuation, Cinemark Holdings Correlation, Cinemark Holdings Hype Analysis, Cinemark Holdings Volatility, Cinemark Holdings History as well as Cinemark Holdings Performance. For more information on how to buy Cinemark Stock please use our How to buy in Cinemark Stock guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cinemark Holdings. If investors know Cinemark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cinemark Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.948 | Earnings Share 1.64 | Revenue Per Share 24.011 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.054 | Return On Assets 0.0374 |
The market value of Cinemark Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cinemark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cinemark Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cinemark Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cinemark Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cinemark Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cinemark Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cinemark Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cinemark Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.