City National Rochdale Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 25.86
| CNRWX Fund | USD 29.67 0.28 0.95% |
City |
City National Target Price Odds to finish below 25.86
The tendency of City Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 25.86 or more in 90 days |
| 29.67 | 90 days | 25.86 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of City National to drop to $ 25.86 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This City National Rochdale probability density function shows the probability of City Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of City National Rochdale price to stay between $ 25.86 and its current price of $29.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon City National has a beta of 0.0616 suggesting as returns on the market go up, City National average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding City National Rochdale will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally City National Rochdale has an alpha of 0.1206, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). City National Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for City National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as City National Rochdale. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of City National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
City National Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. City National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the City National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold City National Rochdale, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of City National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
City National Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of City National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for City National Rochdale can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds 97.32% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
City National Technical Analysis
City National's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. City Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of City National Rochdale. In general, you should focus on analyzing City Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
City National Predictive Forecast Models
City National's time-series forecasting models is one of many City National's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary City National's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about City National Rochdale
Checking the ongoing alerts about City National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for City National Rochdale help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds 97.32% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in City Mutual Fund
City National financial ratios help investors to determine whether City Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in City with respect to the benefits of owning City National security.
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