Commonwealth Australianew Zealand Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.11

CNZLX Fund  USD 10.97  0.01  0.09%   
Commonwealth Australianew's future price is the expected price of Commonwealth Australianew instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Commonwealth Australianew Zealand performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Commonwealth Australianew Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Commonwealth Australianew Correlation, Commonwealth Australianew Hype Analysis, Commonwealth Australianew Volatility, Commonwealth Australianew History as well as Commonwealth Australianew Performance.
  
Please specify Commonwealth Australianew's target price for which you would like Commonwealth Australianew odds to be computed.

Commonwealth Australianew Target Price Odds to finish below 11.11

The tendency of Commonwealth Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 11.11  after 90 days
 10.97 90 days 11.11 
about 25.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Commonwealth Australianew to stay under $ 11.11  after 90 days from now is about 25.78 (This Commonwealth Australianew Zealand probability density function shows the probability of Commonwealth Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Commonwealth Australianew price to stay between its current price of $ 10.97  and $ 11.11  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.07 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Commonwealth Australianew has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Commonwealth Australianew average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Commonwealth Australianew Zealand will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Commonwealth Australianew Zealand has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Commonwealth Australianew Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Commonwealth Australianew

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Commonwealth Australianew. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1510.9711.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2311.0511.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1510.9711.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8311.0511.28
Details

Commonwealth Australianew Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Commonwealth Australianew is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Commonwealth Australianew's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Commonwealth Australianew Zealand, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Commonwealth Australianew within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Commonwealth Australianew Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Commonwealth Australianew for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Commonwealth Australianew can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Commonwealth Australianew generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Commonwealth Australianew generated five year return of -2.0%
This fund holds 97.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Commonwealth Australianew Technical Analysis

Commonwealth Australianew's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Commonwealth Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Commonwealth Australianew Zealand. In general, you should focus on analyzing Commonwealth Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Commonwealth Australianew Predictive Forecast Models

Commonwealth Australianew's time-series forecasting models is one of many Commonwealth Australianew's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Commonwealth Australianew's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Commonwealth Australianew

Checking the ongoing alerts about Commonwealth Australianew for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Commonwealth Australianew help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Commonwealth Australianew generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Commonwealth Australianew generated five year return of -2.0%
This fund holds 97.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Commonwealth Mutual Fund

Commonwealth Australianew financial ratios help investors to determine whether Commonwealth Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Commonwealth with respect to the benefits of owning Commonwealth Australianew security.
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine