Coca Cola Femsa Sab Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 21.60

COCSF Stock  USD 8.16  0.34  4.35%   
Coca Cola's future price is the expected price of Coca Cola instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Coca Cola FEMSA SAB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Coca Cola Backtesting, Coca Cola Valuation, Coca Cola Correlation, Coca Cola Hype Analysis, Coca Cola Volatility, Coca Cola History as well as Coca Cola Performance.
  
Please specify Coca Cola's target price for which you would like Coca Cola odds to be computed.

Coca Cola Target Price Odds to finish over 21.60

The tendency of Coca Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 21.60  or more in 90 days
 8.16 90 days 21.60 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coca Cola to move over $ 21.60  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Coca Cola FEMSA SAB probability density function shows the probability of Coca Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coca Cola FEMSA price to stay between its current price of $ 8.16  and $ 21.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Coca Cola FEMSA SAB has a beta of -1.68 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Coca Cola FEMSA SAB are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Coca Cola is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Coca Cola FEMSA SAB has an alpha of 0.0073, implying that it can generate a 0.007251 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Coca Cola Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coca Cola

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola FEMSA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coca Cola's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.488.1612.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.256.9311.61
Details

Coca Cola Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coca Cola is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coca Cola's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coca Cola FEMSA SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coca Cola within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.68
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Coca Cola Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coca Cola for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coca Cola FEMSA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coca Cola FEMSA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coca Cola FEMSA has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Coca Cola Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coca Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coca Cola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coca Cola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 B

Coca Cola Technical Analysis

Coca Cola's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coca Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coca Cola FEMSA SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coca Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coca Cola Predictive Forecast Models

Coca Cola's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coca Cola's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coca Cola's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Coca Cola FEMSA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Coca Cola for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coca Cola FEMSA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coca Cola FEMSA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coca Cola FEMSA has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Coca Pink Sheet

When determining whether Coca Cola FEMSA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Coca Cola's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Coca Cola's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Coca Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Coca Cola Backtesting, Coca Cola Valuation, Coca Cola Correlation, Coca Cola Hype Analysis, Coca Cola Volatility, Coca Cola History as well as Coca Cola Performance.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coca Cola's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coca Cola is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coca Cola's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.