COMSovereign Holding Corp Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0106
| COMSWDelisted Stock | USD 0.02 0.01 160.53% |
COMSovereign |
COMSovereign Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0106
The tendency of COMSovereign Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 21.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COMSovereign Holding to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.56 (This COMSovereign Holding Corp probability density function shows the probability of COMSovereign Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COMSovereign Holding Corp price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.0198 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.25 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon COMSovereign Holding Corp has a beta of -2.95 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding COMSovereign Holding Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, COMSovereign Holding is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that COMSovereign Holding Corp has an alpha of 3.0128, implying that it can generate a 3.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). COMSovereign Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for COMSovereign Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COMSovereign Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of COMSovereign Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
COMSovereign Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COMSovereign Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COMSovereign Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COMSovereign Holding Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COMSovereign Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
COMSovereign Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COMSovereign Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COMSovereign Holding Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| COMSovereign Holding is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| COMSovereign Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| COMSovereign Holding has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| COMSovereign Holding Corp has accumulated 24.67 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.17, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. COMSovereign Holding Corp has a current ratio of 0.27, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist COMSovereign Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, COMSovereign Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like COMSovereign Holding Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for COMSovereign to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about COMSovereign Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 9.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (79.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| COMSovereign Holding Corp has accumulated about 505.05 K in cash with (9.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. |
COMSovereign Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of COMSovereign Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential COMSovereign Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. COMSovereign Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 246 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 M | |
| Shares Float | 2.6 M |
COMSovereign Holding Technical Analysis
COMSovereign Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COMSovereign Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COMSovereign Holding Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing COMSovereign Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
COMSovereign Holding Predictive Forecast Models
COMSovereign Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many COMSovereign Holding's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COMSovereign Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about COMSovereign Holding Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about COMSovereign Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COMSovereign Holding Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| COMSovereign Holding is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| COMSovereign Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| COMSovereign Holding has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| COMSovereign Holding Corp has accumulated 24.67 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.17, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. COMSovereign Holding Corp has a current ratio of 0.27, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist COMSovereign Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, COMSovereign Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like COMSovereign Holding Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for COMSovereign to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about COMSovereign Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 9.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (79.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| COMSovereign Holding Corp has accumulated about 505.05 K in cash with (9.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Other Consideration for investing in COMSovereign Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in COMSovereign Holding Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the COMSovereign Holding's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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