Cosmos Group Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.000001
Cosmos Group's future price is the expected price of Cosmos Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cosmos Group Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cosmos Group Backtesting, Cosmos Group Valuation, Cosmos Group Correlation, Cosmos Group Hype Analysis, Cosmos Group Volatility, Cosmos Group History as well as Cosmos Group Performance.
Please specify Cosmos Group's target price for which you would like Cosmos Group odds to be computed.
Cosmos |
Cosmos Group Target Price Odds to finish below 0.000001
The tendency of Cosmos Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.000001 after 90 days |
| 0.00 | 90 days | 0.000001 | about 7.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cosmos Group to stay under $ 0.000001 after 90 days from now is about 7.68 (This Cosmos Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Cosmos Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cosmos Group Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.00 and $ 0.000001 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cosmos Group has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero suggesting the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Cosmos Group do not appear to be reactive. Additionally It does not look like Cosmos Group's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. Cosmos Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Cosmos Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cosmos Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cosmos Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cosmos Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cosmos Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cosmos Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cosmos Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cosmos Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.000047 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.00 |
Cosmos Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cosmos Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cosmos Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cosmos Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Cosmos Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Cosmos Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (25.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.04 M. | |
| Cosmos Group Holdings currently holds about 1.77 M in cash with (4.88 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Cosmos Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cosmos Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cosmos Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cosmos Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1131.13 |
Cosmos Group Technical Analysis
Cosmos Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cosmos Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cosmos Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cosmos Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cosmos Group Predictive Forecast Models
Cosmos Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cosmos Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cosmos Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cosmos Group Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cosmos Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cosmos Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cosmos Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Cosmos Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Cosmos Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (25.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.04 M. | |
| Cosmos Group Holdings currently holds about 1.77 M in cash with (4.88 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Cosmos Pink Sheet
Cosmos Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cosmos Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cosmos with respect to the benefits of owning Cosmos Group security.