CPH Chemie (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 68.10
| CPHN Stock | CHF 68.40 1.20 1.72% |
CPH |
CPH Chemie Target Price Odds to finish below 68.10
The tendency of CPH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 68.10 or more in 90 days |
| 68.40 | 90 days | 68.10 | about 50.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CPH Chemie to drop to ₣ 68.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 50.94 (This CPH Chemie und probability density function shows the probability of CPH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CPH Chemie und price to stay between ₣ 68.10 and its current price of ₣68.4 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CPH Chemie has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CPH Chemie average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CPH Chemie und will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CPH Chemie und has an alpha of 0.0736, implying that it can generate a 0.0736 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CPH Chemie Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CPH Chemie
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CPH Chemie und. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CPH Chemie Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CPH Chemie is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CPH Chemie's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CPH Chemie und, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CPH Chemie within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.000038 |
CPH Chemie Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CPH Chemie for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CPH Chemie und can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 496.69 M. Net Loss for the year was (151.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 121.04 M. | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
CPH Chemie Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CPH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CPH Chemie's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CPH Chemie's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 95.1 M |
CPH Chemie Technical Analysis
CPH Chemie's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CPH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CPH Chemie und. In general, you should focus on analyzing CPH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CPH Chemie Predictive Forecast Models
CPH Chemie's time-series forecasting models is one of many CPH Chemie's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CPH Chemie's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CPH Chemie und
Checking the ongoing alerts about CPH Chemie for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CPH Chemie und help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 496.69 M. Net Loss for the year was (151.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 121.04 M. | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for CPH Stock Analysis
When running CPH Chemie's price analysis, check to measure CPH Chemie's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CPH Chemie is operating at the current time. Most of CPH Chemie's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CPH Chemie's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CPH Chemie's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CPH Chemie to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.