Capitec Bank (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 185143.0
| CPI Stock | 331,547 116.00 0.04% |
Capitec |
Capitec Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 185143.0
The tendency of Capitec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 185,143 or more in 90 days |
| 331,547 | 90 days | 185,143 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capitec Bank to drop to 185,143 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Capitec Bank Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Capitec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capitec Bank Holdings price to stay between 185,143 and its current price of 331547.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Capitec Bank Holdings has a beta of -0.0541 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Capitec Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Capitec Bank Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Capitec Bank Holdings has an alpha of 0.1856, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Capitec Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capitec Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capitec Bank Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capitec Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capitec Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capitec Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capitec Bank Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capitec Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12,306 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Capitec Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capitec Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capitec Bank Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Capitec Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capitec Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capitec Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capitec Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.1 B |
Capitec Bank Technical Analysis
Capitec Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capitec Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capitec Bank Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capitec Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capitec Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Capitec Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capitec Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capitec Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Capitec Bank Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capitec Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capitec Bank Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Capitec Stock
Capitec Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capitec Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capitec with respect to the benefits of owning Capitec Bank security.