Camden Property Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 122.03
| CPT Stock | USD 115.92 0.48 0.41% |
Camden |
Camden Property Target Price Odds to finish over 122.03
The tendency of Camden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 122.03 or more in 90 days |
| 115.92 | 90 days | 122.03 | about 16.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Camden Property to move over $ 122.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.91 (This Camden Property Trust probability density function shows the probability of Camden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Camden Property Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 115.92 and $ 122.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.45 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Camden Property has a beta of 0.28 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Camden Property average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Camden Property Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Camden Property Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Camden Property Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Camden Property
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Camden Property Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Camden Property Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Camden Property is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Camden Property's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Camden Property Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Camden Property within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Camden Property Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Camden Property for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Camden Property Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Camden Property generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Camden Property Trust has 3.72 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.72, which is OK given its current industry classification. Camden Property Trust has a current ratio of 0.12, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Camden to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 99.0% of Camden Property shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: JPMorgan Chase Co. Downgrades Camden Property Trust to Underweight |
Camden Property Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Camden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Camden Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Camden Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 109.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 259.7 M |
Camden Property Technical Analysis
Camden Property's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Camden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Camden Property Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Camden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Camden Property Predictive Forecast Models
Camden Property's time-series forecasting models is one of many Camden Property's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Camden Property's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Camden Property Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Camden Property for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Camden Property Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Camden Property generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Camden Property Trust has 3.72 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.72, which is OK given its current industry classification. Camden Property Trust has a current ratio of 0.12, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Camden to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 99.0% of Camden Property shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: JPMorgan Chase Co. Downgrades Camden Property Trust to Underweight |
Additional Tools for Camden Stock Analysis
When running Camden Property's price analysis, check to measure Camden Property's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Camden Property is operating at the current time. Most of Camden Property's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Camden Property's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Camden Property's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Camden Property to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.