Caribou Biosciences Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.96
| CRBU Stock | USD 1.69 0.10 5.59% |
Caribou |
Caribou Biosciences Target Price Odds to finish below 1.96
The tendency of Caribou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.96 after 90 days |
| 1.69 | 90 days | 1.96 | about 38.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caribou Biosciences to stay under $ 1.96 after 90 days from now is about 38.4 (This Caribou Biosciences probability density function shows the probability of Caribou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Caribou Biosciences price to stay between its current price of $ 1.69 and $ 1.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.69 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.44 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Caribou Biosciences will likely underperform. Additionally Caribou Biosciences has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Caribou Biosciences Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Caribou Biosciences
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caribou Biosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Caribou Biosciences Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caribou Biosciences is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caribou Biosciences' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caribou Biosciences, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caribou Biosciences within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Caribou Biosciences Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caribou Biosciences for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caribou Biosciences can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Caribou Biosciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Caribou Biosciences may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Caribou Biosciences has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Caribou Biosciences has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 34.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (102.07 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (68.38 M). | |
| Caribou Biosciences currently holds about 339.92 M in cash with (93.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.59, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Whiting Nancy of 21500 shares of Caribou Biosciences at 6.12 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Caribou Biosciences Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caribou Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caribou Biosciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caribou Biosciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 328.8 M |
Caribou Biosciences Technical Analysis
Caribou Biosciences' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Caribou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Caribou Biosciences. In general, you should focus on analyzing Caribou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Caribou Biosciences Predictive Forecast Models
Caribou Biosciences' time-series forecasting models is one of many Caribou Biosciences' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Caribou Biosciences' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Caribou Biosciences
Checking the ongoing alerts about Caribou Biosciences for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Caribou Biosciences help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Caribou Biosciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Caribou Biosciences may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Caribou Biosciences has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Caribou Biosciences has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 34.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (102.07 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (68.38 M). | |
| Caribou Biosciences currently holds about 339.92 M in cash with (93.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.59, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Whiting Nancy of 21500 shares of Caribou Biosciences at 6.12 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Caribou Stock Analysis
When running Caribou Biosciences' price analysis, check to measure Caribou Biosciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caribou Biosciences is operating at the current time. Most of Caribou Biosciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caribou Biosciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caribou Biosciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caribou Biosciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.