CENTRAL RETAIL (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 43.41
| CRC-R Stock | THB 34.50 4.75 12.10% |
CENTRAL |
CENTRAL RETAIL Target Price Odds to finish over 43.41
The tendency of CENTRAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 43.41 or more in 90 days |
| 34.50 | 90 days | 43.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CENTRAL RETAIL to move over 43.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CENTRAL RETAIL P probability density function shows the probability of CENTRAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CENTRAL RETAIL P price to stay between its current price of 34.50 and 43.41 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CENTRAL RETAIL P has a beta of -0.0039 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CENTRAL RETAIL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CENTRAL RETAIL P is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CENTRAL RETAIL P has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CENTRAL RETAIL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CENTRAL RETAIL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CENTRAL RETAIL P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CENTRAL RETAIL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CENTRAL RETAIL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CENTRAL RETAIL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CENTRAL RETAIL P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CENTRAL RETAIL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0039 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
CENTRAL RETAIL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CENTRAL RETAIL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CENTRAL RETAIL P can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CENTRAL RETAIL P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CENTRAL RETAIL P has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| CENTRAL RETAIL P has accumulated 138.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.44, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. CENTRAL RETAIL P has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CENTRAL RETAIL until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CENTRAL RETAIL's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CENTRAL RETAIL P sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CENTRAL to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CENTRAL RETAIL's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
CENTRAL RETAIL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CENTRAL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CENTRAL RETAIL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CENTRAL RETAIL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.40 | |
| Float Shares | 2.49B | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 1.19% |
CENTRAL RETAIL Technical Analysis
CENTRAL RETAIL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CENTRAL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CENTRAL RETAIL P. In general, you should focus on analyzing CENTRAL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CENTRAL RETAIL Predictive Forecast Models
CENTRAL RETAIL's time-series forecasting models is one of many CENTRAL RETAIL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CENTRAL RETAIL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CENTRAL RETAIL P
Checking the ongoing alerts about CENTRAL RETAIL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CENTRAL RETAIL P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CENTRAL RETAIL P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CENTRAL RETAIL P has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| CENTRAL RETAIL P has accumulated 138.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.44, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. CENTRAL RETAIL P has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CENTRAL RETAIL until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CENTRAL RETAIL's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CENTRAL RETAIL P sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CENTRAL to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CENTRAL RETAIL's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in CENTRAL Stock
CENTRAL RETAIL financial ratios help investors to determine whether CENTRAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CENTRAL with respect to the benefits of owning CENTRAL RETAIL security.