Crm Longshort Opport Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.28

CRIHX Fund  USD 13.08  0.08  0.61%   
Crm Longshort's future price is the expected price of Crm Longshort instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crm Longshort Opport performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crm Longshort Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Crm Longshort Correlation, Crm Longshort Hype Analysis, Crm Longshort Volatility, Crm Longshort History as well as Crm Longshort Performance.
  
Please specify Crm Longshort's target price for which you would like Crm Longshort odds to be computed.

Crm Longshort Target Price Odds to finish below 14.28

The tendency of Crm Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 14.28  after 90 days
 13.08 90 days 14.28 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crm Longshort to stay under $ 14.28  after 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Crm Longshort Opport probability density function shows the probability of Crm Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crm Longshort Opport price to stay between its current price of $ 13.08  and $ 14.28  at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Crm Longshort has a beta of 0.71 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crm Longshort average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crm Longshort Opport will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crm Longshort Opport has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Crm Longshort Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crm Longshort

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crm Longshort Opport. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9213.0814.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0713.2314.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4412.6113.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.1313.9114.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crm Longshort. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crm Longshort's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crm Longshort's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Crm Longshort Opport.

Crm Longshort Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crm Longshort is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crm Longshort's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crm Longshort Opport, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crm Longshort within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Crm Longshort Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crm Longshort for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crm Longshort Opport can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crm Longshort Opport generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Fidelity Select Energy Portfolio a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - MSN
The fund holds about 26.69% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Crm Longshort Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crm Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crm Longshort's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crm Longshort's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Crm Longshort Technical Analysis

Crm Longshort's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crm Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crm Longshort Opport. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crm Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crm Longshort Predictive Forecast Models

Crm Longshort's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crm Longshort's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crm Longshort's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crm Longshort Opport

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crm Longshort for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crm Longshort Opport help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crm Longshort Opport generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Fidelity Select Energy Portfolio a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - MSN
The fund holds about 26.69% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Crm Mutual Fund

Crm Longshort financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crm with respect to the benefits of owning Crm Longshort security.
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