Cross Timbers Royalty Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.67
| CRT Stock | USD 9.61 0.29 2.93% |
Cross |
Cross Timbers Target Price Odds to finish below 3.67
The tendency of Cross Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.67 or more in 90 days |
| 9.61 | 90 days | 3.67 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cross Timbers to drop to $ 3.67 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cross Timbers Royalty probability density function shows the probability of Cross Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cross Timbers Royalty price to stay between $ 3.67 and its current price of $9.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.8 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Cross Timbers has a beta of 0.0881 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cross Timbers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cross Timbers Royalty will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cross Timbers Royalty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cross Timbers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cross Timbers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cross Timbers Royalty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cross Timbers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cross Timbers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cross Timbers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cross Timbers Royalty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cross Timbers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Cross Timbers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cross Timbers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cross Timbers Royalty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cross Timbers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cross Timbers is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Cross Timbers has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 13th of December 2024 Cross Timbers paid $ 0.093 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Cross Timbers Royalty Trust Declares December Cash Distribution Update on Financial Performance |
Cross Timbers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cross Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cross Timbers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cross Timbers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 M |
Cross Timbers Technical Analysis
Cross Timbers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cross Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cross Timbers Royalty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cross Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cross Timbers Predictive Forecast Models
Cross Timbers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cross Timbers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cross Timbers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cross Timbers Royalty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cross Timbers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cross Timbers Royalty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cross Timbers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cross Timbers is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Cross Timbers has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 13th of December 2024 Cross Timbers paid $ 0.093 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Cross Timbers Royalty Trust Declares December Cash Distribution Update on Financial Performance |
Additional Tools for Cross Stock Analysis
When running Cross Timbers' price analysis, check to measure Cross Timbers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cross Timbers is operating at the current time. Most of Cross Timbers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cross Timbers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cross Timbers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cross Timbers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.