Caesarstone Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.99
| CSTE Stock | USD 4.99 0.00 0.00% |
Caesarstone |
Caesarstone Target Price Odds to finish over 4.99
The tendency of Caesarstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.99 | 90 days | 4.99 | about 1.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caesarstone to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.44 (This Caesarstone probability density function shows the probability of Caesarstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Caesarstone has a beta of -0.8 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Caesarstone are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Caesarstone is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Caesarstone has an alpha of 0.2793, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Caesarstone Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Caesarstone
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caesarstone. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caesarstone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Caesarstone Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caesarstone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caesarstone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caesarstone, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caesarstone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Caesarstone Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caesarstone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caesarstone can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Caesarstone had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 565.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (107.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 163.48 M. | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Rising Consumer Demand Fuels Robust Expansion of the United States Countertop Market to USD 138,218.8 million by 2033 Future Market Insights, Inc. |
Caesarstone Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caesarstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caesarstone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caesarstone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 91.1 M |
Caesarstone Technical Analysis
Caesarstone's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Caesarstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Caesarstone. In general, you should focus on analyzing Caesarstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Caesarstone Predictive Forecast Models
Caesarstone's time-series forecasting models is one of many Caesarstone's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Caesarstone's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Caesarstone
Checking the ongoing alerts about Caesarstone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Caesarstone help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Caesarstone had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 565.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (107.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 163.48 M. | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Rising Consumer Demand Fuels Robust Expansion of the United States Countertop Market to USD 138,218.8 million by 2033 Future Market Insights, Inc. |
Check out Caesarstone Backtesting, Caesarstone Valuation, Caesarstone Correlation, Caesarstone Hype Analysis, Caesarstone Volatility, Caesarstone History as well as Caesarstone Performance. For information on how to trade Caesarstone Stock refer to our How to Trade Caesarstone Stock guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caesarstone. If investors know Caesarstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Caesarstone listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.869 | Earnings Share (2.00) | Revenue Per Share 14.73 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Caesarstone is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Caesarstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Caesarstone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Caesarstone's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Caesarstone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Caesarstone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Caesarstone's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caesarstone is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caesarstone's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.