Catalent Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 47.14

CTLT Stock  USD 63.48  0.01  0.02%   
Catalent's future price is the expected price of Catalent instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Catalent performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Catalent Backtesting, Catalent Valuation, Catalent Correlation, Catalent Hype Analysis, Catalent Volatility, Catalent History as well as Catalent Performance.
For more information on how to buy Catalent Stock please use our How to Invest in Catalent guide.
  
Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 1.86 in 2024. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to -9.26 in 2024. Please specify Catalent's target price for which you would like Catalent odds to be computed.

Catalent Target Price Odds to finish over 47.14

The tendency of Catalent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 47.14  in 90 days
 63.48 90 days 47.14 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catalent to stay above $ 47.14  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Catalent probability density function shows the probability of Catalent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Catalent price to stay between $ 47.14  and its current price of $63.48 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Catalent has a beta of -0.0081 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Catalent are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Catalent is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Catalent has an alpha of 0.0736, implying that it can generate a 0.0736 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Catalent Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Catalent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catalent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.8163.4664.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.9356.5869.83
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
46.3550.9356.53
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.140.21
Details

Catalent Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catalent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catalent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catalent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catalent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0081
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Catalent Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catalent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catalent can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.04 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.04 B.
Catalent has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: NVO to Invest 1.2B in New Rare Disease Drugs Facility in Denmark

Catalent Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Catalent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Catalent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Catalent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding181 M
Cash And Short Term Investments289 M

Catalent Technical Analysis

Catalent's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Catalent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Catalent. In general, you should focus on analyzing Catalent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Catalent Predictive Forecast Models

Catalent's time-series forecasting models is one of many Catalent's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Catalent's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Catalent

Checking the ongoing alerts about Catalent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Catalent help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.04 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.04 B.
Catalent has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: NVO to Invest 1.2B in New Rare Disease Drugs Facility in Denmark

Additional Tools for Catalent Stock Analysis

When running Catalent's price analysis, check to measure Catalent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Catalent is operating at the current time. Most of Catalent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Catalent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Catalent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Catalent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.