Coterra Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.66
| CTRA Stock | USD 24.44 0.08 0.33% |
Coterra |
Coterra Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 25.66
The tendency of Coterra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 25.66 or more in 90 days |
| 24.44 | 90 days | 25.66 | about 18.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coterra Energy to move over $ 25.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.73 (This Coterra Energy probability density function shows the probability of Coterra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coterra Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 24.44 and $ 25.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Coterra Energy has a beta of 0.68 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Coterra Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coterra Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Coterra Energy has an alpha of 0.0786, implying that it can generate a 0.0786 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Coterra Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Coterra Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coterra Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Coterra Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coterra Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coterra Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coterra Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coterra Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Coterra Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coterra Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coterra Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Coterra Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 27th of November 2024 Coterra Energy paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Piper Sandler Lowers Coterra Energy Price Target to 33.00 |
Coterra Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coterra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coterra Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coterra Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 760 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 956 M |
Coterra Energy Technical Analysis
Coterra Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coterra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coterra Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coterra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Coterra Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Coterra Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coterra Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coterra Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Coterra Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Coterra Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coterra Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Coterra Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 27th of November 2024 Coterra Energy paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Piper Sandler Lowers Coterra Energy Price Target to 33.00 |
Check out Coterra Energy Backtesting, Coterra Energy Valuation, Coterra Energy Correlation, Coterra Energy Hype Analysis, Coterra Energy Volatility, Coterra Energy History as well as Coterra Energy Performance. For information on how to trade Coterra Stock refer to our How to Trade Coterra Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coterra Energy. If investors know Coterra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Coterra Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Dividend Share 0.83 | Earnings Share 1.65 | Revenue Per Share 7.376 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Coterra Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Coterra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Coterra Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Coterra Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Coterra Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Coterra Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coterra Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coterra Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coterra Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.