Chuangs China (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.008505

CUG Stock  EUR 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Chuangs China's future price is the expected price of Chuangs China instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Chuangs China Investments performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Chuangs China Backtesting, Chuangs China Valuation, Chuangs China Correlation, Chuangs China Hype Analysis, Chuangs China Volatility, Chuangs China History as well as Chuangs China Performance.
  
Please specify Chuangs China's target price for which you would like Chuangs China odds to be computed.

Chuangs China Target Price Odds to finish over 0.008505

The tendency of Chuangs Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 0.01  in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chuangs China to stay above € 0.01  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Chuangs China Investments probability density function shows the probability of Chuangs Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chuangs China Investments price to stay between € 0.01  and its current price of €0.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Chuangs China has a beta of 0.15 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chuangs China average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chuangs China Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chuangs China Investments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Chuangs China Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chuangs China

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chuangs China Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.010.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.010.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.010.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details

Chuangs China Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chuangs China is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chuangs China's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chuangs China Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chuangs China within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.000062
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Chuangs China Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chuangs China for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chuangs China Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chuangs China has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Chuangs China has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Chuangs China Investments has accumulated about 154.17 M in cash with (50.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Chuangs China Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chuangs Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chuangs China's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chuangs China's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.3 B

Chuangs China Technical Analysis

Chuangs China's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chuangs Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chuangs China Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chuangs Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Chuangs China Predictive Forecast Models

Chuangs China's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chuangs China's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chuangs China's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Chuangs China Investments

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chuangs China for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chuangs China Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chuangs China has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Chuangs China has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Chuangs China Investments has accumulated about 154.17 M in cash with (50.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Chuangs Stock

Chuangs China financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chuangs Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chuangs with respect to the benefits of owning Chuangs China security.