CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT (Nigeria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.75
| CUSTODIAN | 13.85 1.25 9.92% |
CUSTODIAN |
CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT Target Price Odds to finish below 9.75
The tendency of CUSTODIAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9.75 or more in 90 days |
| 13.85 | 90 days | 9.75 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT to drop to 9.75 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT PLC probability density function shows the probability of CUSTODIAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT PLC price to stay between 9.75 and its current price of 13.85 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT has a beta of 0.59 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT Technical Analysis
CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CUSTODIAN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing CUSTODIAN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT Predictive Forecast Models
CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT's time-series forecasting models is one of many CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CUSTODIAN INVESTMENT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |