Cvb Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.35

CVBF Stock  USD 23.23  0.05  0.22%   
CVB Financial's future price is the expected price of CVB Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CVB Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CVB Financial Backtesting, CVB Financial Valuation, CVB Financial Correlation, CVB Financial Hype Analysis, CVB Financial Volatility, CVB Financial History as well as CVB Financial Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in CVB Stock please use our How to Invest in CVB Financial guide.
  
At this time, CVB Financial's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is most likely to drop slightly in the upcoming years. The CVB Financial's current Price To Book Ratio is estimated to increase to 2.50, while Price Earnings Ratio is projected to decrease to 11.98. Please specify CVB Financial's target price for which you would like CVB Financial odds to be computed.

CVB Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 17.35

The tendency of CVB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 17.35  or more in 90 days
 23.23 90 days 17.35 
about 12.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CVB Financial to drop to $ 17.35  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.78 (This CVB Financial probability density function shows the probability of CVB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CVB Financial price to stay between $ 17.35  and its current price of $23.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.73 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CVB Financial will likely underperform. Additionally CVB Financial has an alpha of 0.211, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CVB Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CVB Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CVB Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.4523.2326.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.1225.9028.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.4722.2525.03
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.5020.3322.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CVB Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CVB Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CVB Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CVB Financial.

CVB Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CVB Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CVB Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CVB Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CVB Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.73
σ
Overall volatility
2.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

CVB Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CVB Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CVB Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 14th of October 2024 CVB Financial paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 3 US Dividend Stocks To Consider With Up To 4.6 percent Yield

CVB Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CVB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CVB Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVB Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding138.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments281.3 M

CVB Financial Technical Analysis

CVB Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CVB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CVB Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing CVB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CVB Financial Predictive Forecast Models

CVB Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many CVB Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CVB Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CVB Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about CVB Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CVB Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 14th of October 2024 CVB Financial paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 3 US Dividend Stocks To Consider With Up To 4.6 percent Yield
When determining whether CVB Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze CVB Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CVB Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CVB Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out CVB Financial Backtesting, CVB Financial Valuation, CVB Financial Correlation, CVB Financial Hype Analysis, CVB Financial Volatility, CVB Financial History as well as CVB Financial Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in CVB Stock please use our How to Invest in CVB Financial guide.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CVB Financial. If investors know CVB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CVB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Dividend Share
0.8
Earnings Share
1.42
Revenue Per Share
3.745
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of CVB Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CVB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CVB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CVB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CVB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CVB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CVB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CVB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CVB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.