CVC Capital (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.70
| CVC Stock | 21.04 0.21 1.01% |
CVC |
CVC Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 11.70
The tendency of CVC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11.70 or more in 90 days |
| 21.04 | 90 days | 11.70 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CVC Capital to drop to 11.70 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CVC Capital Partners probability density function shows the probability of CVC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CVC Capital Partners price to stay between 11.70 and its current price of 21.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CVC Capital has a beta of 0.25 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CVC Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CVC Capital Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CVC Capital Partners has an alpha of 0.0583, implying that it can generate a 0.0583 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CVC Capital Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for CVC Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CVC Capital Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CVC Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CVC Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CVC Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CVC Capital Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CVC Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
CVC Capital Technical Analysis
CVC Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CVC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CVC Capital Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing CVC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CVC Capital Predictive Forecast Models
CVC Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many CVC Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CVC Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CVC Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CVC Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CVC Capital options trading.
Additional Tools for CVC Stock Analysis
When running CVC Capital's price analysis, check to measure CVC Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVC Capital is operating at the current time. Most of CVC Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVC Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVC Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVC Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.