Cvd Equipment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.45
| CVV Stock | USD 3.97 0.08 1.98% |
CVD |
CVD Equipment Target Price Odds to finish below 3.45
The tendency of CVD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.45 or more in 90 days |
| 3.97 | 90 days | 3.45 | about 71.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CVD Equipment to drop to $ 3.45 or more in 90 days from now is about 71.18 (This CVD Equipment probability density function shows the probability of CVD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CVD Equipment price to stay between $ 3.45 and its current price of $3.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.25 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CVD Equipment has a beta of 0.44 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CVD Equipment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CVD Equipment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CVD Equipment has an alpha of 0.3631, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CVD Equipment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CVD Equipment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CVD Equipment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CVD Equipment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CVD Equipment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CVD Equipment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CVD Equipment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CVD Equipment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CVD Equipment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
CVD Equipment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CVD Equipment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CVD Equipment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CVD Equipment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 24.11 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.18 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 6.63 M. | |
| CVD Equipment has about 11.88 M in cash with (206 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.76. | |
| CVD Equipment has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: CVD Equipment Stock Surges Over 6 percent Amid Market Activity |
CVD Equipment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CVD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CVD Equipment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVD Equipment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14 M |
CVD Equipment Technical Analysis
CVD Equipment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CVD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CVD Equipment. In general, you should focus on analyzing CVD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CVD Equipment Predictive Forecast Models
CVD Equipment's time-series forecasting models is one of many CVD Equipment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CVD Equipment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CVD Equipment
Checking the ongoing alerts about CVD Equipment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CVD Equipment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CVD Equipment had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 24.11 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.18 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 6.63 M. | |
| CVD Equipment has about 11.88 M in cash with (206 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.76. | |
| CVD Equipment has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: CVD Equipment Stock Surges Over 6 percent Amid Market Activity |
Additional Tools for CVD Stock Analysis
When running CVD Equipment's price analysis, check to measure CVD Equipment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVD Equipment is operating at the current time. Most of CVD Equipment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVD Equipment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVD Equipment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVD Equipment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.