Catalystwarrington Strategic Program Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.35

CWXAX Fund  USD 9.25  0.00  0.00%   
Catalystwarrington's future price is the expected price of Catalystwarrington instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Catalystwarrington Strategic Program performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Catalystwarrington Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Catalystwarrington Correlation, Catalystwarrington Hype Analysis, Catalystwarrington Volatility, Catalystwarrington History as well as Catalystwarrington Performance.
  
Please specify Catalystwarrington's target price for which you would like Catalystwarrington odds to be computed.

Catalystwarrington Target Price Odds to finish over 9.35

The tendency of Catalystwarrington Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 9.35  or more in 90 days
 9.25 90 days 9.35 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catalystwarrington to move over $ 9.35  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Catalystwarrington Strategic Program probability density function shows the probability of Catalystwarrington Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Catalystwarrington price to stay between its current price of $ 9.25  and $ 9.35  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catalystwarrington Strategic Program has a beta of -0.0026 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Catalystwarrington are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Catalystwarrington Strategic Program is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Catalystwarrington Strategic Program has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Catalystwarrington Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Catalystwarrington

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catalystwarrington. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.219.259.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.219.259.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.219.259.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.259.259.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Catalystwarrington. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Catalystwarrington's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Catalystwarrington's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Catalystwarrington.

Catalystwarrington Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catalystwarrington is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catalystwarrington's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catalystwarrington Strategic Program, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catalystwarrington within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0026
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -3.14

Catalystwarrington Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catalystwarrington for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catalystwarrington can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Catalystwarrington generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 98.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Catalystwarrington Technical Analysis

Catalystwarrington's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Catalystwarrington Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Catalystwarrington Strategic Program. In general, you should focus on analyzing Catalystwarrington Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Catalystwarrington Predictive Forecast Models

Catalystwarrington's time-series forecasting models is one of many Catalystwarrington's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Catalystwarrington's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Catalystwarrington

Checking the ongoing alerts about Catalystwarrington for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Catalystwarrington help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Catalystwarrington generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 98.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Catalystwarrington Mutual Fund

Catalystwarrington financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalystwarrington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalystwarrington with respect to the benefits of owning Catalystwarrington security.
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