Crexendo Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.55
CXDO Stock | USD 5.42 0.06 1.09% |
Crexendo |
Crexendo Target Price Odds to finish below 5.55
The tendency of Crexendo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 5.55 after 90 days |
5.42 | 90 days | 5.55 | about 82.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crexendo to stay under $ 5.55 after 90 days from now is about 82.51 (This Crexendo probability density function shows the probability of Crexendo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crexendo price to stay between its current price of $ 5.42 and $ 5.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.64 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.92 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Crexendo will likely underperform. Additionally Crexendo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Crexendo Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Crexendo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crexendo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crexendo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Crexendo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crexendo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crexendo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crexendo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crexendo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Crexendo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crexendo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crexendo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Crexendo had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 53.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (362 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.95 M. | |
Crexendo has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Are Crexendo, Inc.s Mixed Financials The Reason For Its Gloomy Performance on The Stock Market |
Crexendo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crexendo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crexendo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crexendo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.9 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.3 M |
Crexendo Technical Analysis
Crexendo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crexendo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crexendo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crexendo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crexendo Predictive Forecast Models
Crexendo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crexendo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crexendo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crexendo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crexendo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crexendo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crexendo had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 53.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (362 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.95 M. | |
Crexendo has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Are Crexendo, Inc.s Mixed Financials The Reason For Its Gloomy Performance on The Stock Market |
Check out Crexendo Backtesting, Crexendo Valuation, Crexendo Correlation, Crexendo Hype Analysis, Crexendo Volatility, Crexendo History as well as Crexendo Performance. To learn how to invest in Crexendo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Crexendo guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crexendo. If investors know Crexendo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crexendo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.92) | Earnings Share 0.05 | Revenue Per Share 2.219 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.126 | Return On Assets 0.0131 |
The market value of Crexendo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crexendo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crexendo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crexendo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crexendo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crexendo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crexendo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crexendo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crexendo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.