Mfs Investment Grade Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.09
| CXH Stock | USD 7.88 0.10 1.25% |
MFS |
MFS Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 5.09
The tendency of MFS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.09 or more in 90 days |
| 7.88 | 90 days | 5.09 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MFS Investment to drop to $ 5.09 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This MFS Investment Grade probability density function shows the probability of MFS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MFS Investment Grade price to stay between $ 5.09 and its current price of $7.88 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon MFS Investment has a beta of 0.0573 suggesting as returns on the market go up, MFS Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MFS Investment Grade will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MFS Investment Grade has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MFS Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MFS Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MFS Investment Grade. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MFS Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MFS Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MFS Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MFS Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MFS Investment Grade, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MFS Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
MFS Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MFS Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MFS Investment Grade can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MFS Investment Grade generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| On 29th of November 2024 MFS Investment paid $ 0.0265 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Rivernorth Capital Management LLC Raises Stock Position in MFS Investment Grade Municipal Trust |
MFS Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MFS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MFS Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFS Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -2.5 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.31 |
MFS Investment Technical Analysis
MFS Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MFS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MFS Investment Grade. In general, you should focus on analyzing MFS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MFS Investment Predictive Forecast Models
MFS Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many MFS Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MFS Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MFS Investment Grade
Checking the ongoing alerts about MFS Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MFS Investment Grade help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MFS Investment Grade generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| On 29th of November 2024 MFS Investment paid $ 0.0265 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Rivernorth Capital Management LLC Raises Stock Position in MFS Investment Grade Municipal Trust |
Check out MFS Investment Backtesting, MFS Investment Valuation, MFS Investment Correlation, MFS Investment Hype Analysis, MFS Investment Volatility, MFS Investment History as well as MFS Investment Performance. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MFS Investment. If investors know MFS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MFS Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.118 | Dividend Share 0.279 | Earnings Share 0.26 | Revenue Per Share 0.655 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of MFS Investment Grade is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MFS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MFS Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MFS Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MFS Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MFS Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MFS Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MFS Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MFS Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.