CyberArk Software (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 297.08
| CYB Stock | 307.90 1.90 0.62% |
CyberArk |
CyberArk Software Target Price Odds to finish below 297.08
The tendency of CyberArk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 297.08 or more in 90 days |
| 307.90 | 90 days | 297.08 | about 87.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CyberArk Software to drop to 297.08 or more in 90 days from now is about 87.73 (This CyberArk Software probability density function shows the probability of CyberArk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CyberArk Software price to stay between 297.08 and its current price of 307.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.35 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CyberArk Software will likely underperform. Additionally CyberArk Software has an alpha of 0.2705, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CyberArk Software Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for CyberArk Software
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CyberArk Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CyberArk Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CyberArk Software Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CyberArk Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CyberArk Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CyberArk Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CyberArk Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 22.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
CyberArk Software Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CyberArk Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CyberArk Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 591.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (130.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 219.85 M. |
CyberArk Software Technical Analysis
CyberArk Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CyberArk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CyberArk Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing CyberArk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CyberArk Software Predictive Forecast Models
CyberArk Software's time-series forecasting models is one of many CyberArk Software's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CyberArk Software's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CyberArk Software
Checking the ongoing alerts about CyberArk Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CyberArk Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 591.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (130.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 219.85 M. |
Additional Tools for CyberArk Stock Analysis
When running CyberArk Software's price analysis, check to measure CyberArk Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CyberArk Software is operating at the current time. Most of CyberArk Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CyberArk Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CyberArk Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CyberArk Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.