Travel Investment (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7173.93

DAT Stock   7,470  280.00  3.89%   
Travel Investment's future price is the expected price of Travel Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Travel Investment and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Travel Investment Backtesting, Travel Investment Valuation, Travel Investment Correlation, Travel Investment Hype Analysis, Travel Investment Volatility, Travel Investment History as well as Travel Investment Performance.
  
Please specify Travel Investment's target price for which you would like Travel Investment odds to be computed.

Travel Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 7173.93

The tendency of Travel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  7,174  in 90 days
 7,470 90 days 7,174 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Travel Investment to stay above  7,174  in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Travel Investment and probability density function shows the probability of Travel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Travel Investment price to stay between  7,174  and its current price of 7470.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Travel Investment has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Travel Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Travel Investment and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Travel Investment and has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Travel Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Travel Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Travel Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7,4687,4707,472
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,1577,1598,217
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7,4157,4167,418
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7,1227,3507,578
Details

Travel Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Travel Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Travel Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Travel Investment and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Travel Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
362.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Travel Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Travel Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Travel Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Travel Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Travel Investment Technical Analysis

Travel Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Travel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Travel Investment and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Travel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Travel Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Travel Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Travel Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Travel Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Travel Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Travel Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Travel Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Travel Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Travel Stock

Travel Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Travel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Travel with respect to the benefits of owning Travel Investment security.