Duta Intidaya (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 597.82
| DAYA Stock | IDR 630.00 25.00 4.13% |
Duta |
Duta Intidaya Target Price Odds to finish below 597.82
The tendency of Duta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 597.82 or more in 90 days |
| 630.00 | 90 days | 597.82 | about 81.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duta Intidaya to drop to 597.82 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.52 (This Duta Intidaya Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Duta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Duta Intidaya Tbk price to stay between 597.82 and its current price of 630.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Duta Intidaya has a beta of 0.15 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Duta Intidaya average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Duta Intidaya Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Duta Intidaya Tbk has an alpha of 0.4059, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Duta Intidaya Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Duta Intidaya
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duta Intidaya Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Duta Intidaya Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duta Intidaya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duta Intidaya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duta Intidaya Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duta Intidaya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 58.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Duta Intidaya Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duta Intidaya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duta Intidaya Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Duta Intidaya Tbk appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 971.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (51.71 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 339.8 B. | |
| Duta Intidaya generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Duta Intidaya Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duta Intidaya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duta Intidaya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 62.5 B |
Duta Intidaya Technical Analysis
Duta Intidaya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Duta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Duta Intidaya Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Duta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Duta Intidaya Predictive Forecast Models
Duta Intidaya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Duta Intidaya's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Duta Intidaya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Duta Intidaya Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Duta Intidaya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duta Intidaya Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Duta Intidaya Tbk appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 971.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (51.71 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 339.8 B. | |
| Duta Intidaya generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Duta Stock
Duta Intidaya financial ratios help investors to determine whether Duta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Duta with respect to the benefits of owning Duta Intidaya security.