Dreyfus Bond Market Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.21

DBIRX Fund  USD 9.04  0.02  0.22%   
Dreyfus Bond's future price is the expected price of Dreyfus Bond instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dreyfus Bond Market performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dreyfus Bond Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Dreyfus Bond Correlation, Dreyfus Bond Hype Analysis, Dreyfus Bond Volatility, Dreyfus Bond History as well as Dreyfus Bond Performance.
  
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Dreyfus Bond Target Price Odds to finish below 9.21

The tendency of Dreyfus Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 9.21  after 90 days
 9.04 90 days 9.21 
about 89.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dreyfus Bond to stay under $ 9.21  after 90 days from now is about 89.46 (This Dreyfus Bond Market probability density function shows the probability of Dreyfus Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dreyfus Bond Market price to stay between its current price of $ 9.04  and $ 9.21  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dreyfus Bond has a beta of 0.0565 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dreyfus Bond average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dreyfus Bond Market will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dreyfus Bond Market has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dreyfus Bond Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dreyfus Bond

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dreyfus Bond Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.769.069.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.779.079.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.809.109.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.929.029.12
Details

Dreyfus Bond Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dreyfus Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dreyfus Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dreyfus Bond Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dreyfus Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.5

Dreyfus Bond Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dreyfus Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dreyfus Bond Market can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dreyfus Bond Market generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dreyfus Bond Market generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund retains about 10.11% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Dreyfus Bond Technical Analysis

Dreyfus Bond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dreyfus Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dreyfus Bond Market. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dreyfus Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dreyfus Bond Predictive Forecast Models

Dreyfus Bond's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dreyfus Bond's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dreyfus Bond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dreyfus Bond Market

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dreyfus Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dreyfus Bond Market help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dreyfus Bond Market generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dreyfus Bond Market generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund retains about 10.11% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund

Dreyfus Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus Bond security.
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