Dcon Products (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.44

DCON Stock  THB 0.30  0.01  3.23%   
Dcon Products' future price is the expected price of Dcon Products instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dcon Products Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dcon Products Backtesting, Dcon Products Valuation, Dcon Products Correlation, Dcon Products Hype Analysis, Dcon Products Volatility, Dcon Products History as well as Dcon Products Performance.
  
Please specify Dcon Products' target price for which you would like Dcon Products odds to be computed.

Dcon Products Target Price Odds to finish below 0.44

The tendency of Dcon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  0.44  after 90 days
 0.30 90 days 0.44 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dcon Products to stay under  0.44  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Dcon Products Public probability density function shows the probability of Dcon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dcon Products Public price to stay between its current price of  0.30  and  0.44  at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dcon Products Public has a beta of -0.39 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dcon Products are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dcon Products Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dcon Products Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dcon Products Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dcon Products

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dcon Products Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.303.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.273.60
Details

Dcon Products Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dcon Products is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dcon Products' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dcon Products Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dcon Products within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Dcon Products Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dcon Products for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dcon Products Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dcon Products Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dcon Products Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Dcon Products Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Dcon Products Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dcon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dcon Products' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dcon Products' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.4 B

Dcon Products Technical Analysis

Dcon Products' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dcon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dcon Products Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dcon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dcon Products Predictive Forecast Models

Dcon Products' time-series forecasting models is one of many Dcon Products' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dcon Products' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dcon Products Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dcon Products for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dcon Products Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dcon Products Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dcon Products Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Dcon Products Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Dcon Stock

Dcon Products financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dcon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dcon with respect to the benefits of owning Dcon Products security.