Dundee Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 11.29

DDEJF Stock  USD 1.00  0.01  1.01%   
Dundee Corp's future price is the expected price of Dundee Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dundee Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dundee Corp Backtesting, Dundee Corp Valuation, Dundee Corp Correlation, Dundee Corp Hype Analysis, Dundee Corp Volatility, Dundee Corp History as well as Dundee Corp Performance.
  
Please specify Dundee Corp's target price for which you would like Dundee Corp odds to be computed.

Dundee Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 11.29

The tendency of Dundee Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.29  or more in 90 days
 1.00 90 days 11.29 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dundee Corp to move over $ 11.29  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Dundee Corp probability density function shows the probability of Dundee Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dundee Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 1.00  and $ 11.29  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dundee Corp has a beta of -0.48 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dundee Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dundee Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dundee Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dundee Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dundee Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dundee Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.004.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.924.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.874.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.981.111.24
Details

Dundee Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dundee Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dundee Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dundee Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dundee Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0033
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.48
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Dundee Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dundee Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dundee Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dundee Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dundee Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Dundee Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 18.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (93.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.37 M.
Dundee Corp has accumulated about 66.05 M in cash with (10.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.75.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Dundee Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dundee Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dundee Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dundee Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding87.8 M

Dundee Corp Technical Analysis

Dundee Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dundee Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dundee Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dundee Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dundee Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Dundee Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dundee Corp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dundee Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dundee Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dundee Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dundee Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dundee Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dundee Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Dundee Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 18.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (93.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.37 M.
Dundee Corp has accumulated about 66.05 M in cash with (10.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.75.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Dundee Pink Sheet

Dundee Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dundee Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dundee with respect to the benefits of owning Dundee Corp security.