Dillards Capital Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.02
| DDT Stock | USD 25.76 0.01 0.04% |
Dillards |
Dillards Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 26.02
The tendency of Dillards Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 26.02 after 90 days |
| 25.76 | 90 days | 26.02 | about 91.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dillards Capital to stay under $ 26.02 after 90 days from now is about 91.88 (This Dillards Capital Trust probability density function shows the probability of Dillards Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dillards Capital Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 25.76 and $ 26.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.9 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Dillards Capital Trust has a beta of -0.0067 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dillards Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dillards Capital Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dillards Capital Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dillards Capital Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Dillards Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dillards Capital Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dillards Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dillards Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dillards Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dillards Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dillards Capital Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dillards Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0005 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0067 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Dillards Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dillards Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dillards Capital Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dillards Capital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Dillards Capital paid $ 0.4688 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should Macys be more like Dillards Maybe. |
Dillards Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dillards Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dillards Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dillards Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 271.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 956.3 M |
Dillards Capital Technical Analysis
Dillards Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dillards Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dillards Capital Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dillards Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dillards Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Dillards Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dillards Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dillards Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dillards Capital Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dillards Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dillards Capital Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dillards Capital has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Dillards Capital paid $ 0.4688 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should Macys be more like Dillards Maybe. |
Additional Tools for Dillards Stock Analysis
When running Dillards Capital's price analysis, check to measure Dillards Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dillards Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Dillards Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dillards Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dillards Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dillards Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.