Shelton Tactical Credit Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.24
| DEBTX Fund | USD 10.32 0.05 0.49% |
Shelton |
Shelton Tactical Target Price Odds to finish below 10.24
The tendency of Shelton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.24 or more in 90 days |
| 10.32 | 90 days | 10.24 | about 36.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shelton Tactical to drop to $ 10.24 or more in 90 days from now is about 36.8 (This Shelton Tactical Credit probability density function shows the probability of Shelton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shelton Tactical Credit price to stay between $ 10.24 and its current price of $10.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Shelton Tactical has a beta of 0.0822 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Shelton Tactical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shelton Tactical Credit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shelton Tactical Credit has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Shelton Tactical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shelton Tactical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shelton Tactical Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shelton Tactical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Shelton Tactical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shelton Tactical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shelton Tactical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shelton Tactical Credit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shelton Tactical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.46 |
Shelton Tactical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shelton Tactical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shelton Tactical Credit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shelton Tactical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains about 8.42% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Shelton Tactical Technical Analysis
Shelton Tactical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shelton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shelton Tactical Credit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shelton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shelton Tactical Predictive Forecast Models
Shelton Tactical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shelton Tactical's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shelton Tactical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shelton Tactical Credit
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shelton Tactical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shelton Tactical Credit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shelton Tactical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains about 8.42% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Shelton Mutual Fund
Shelton Tactical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shelton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shelton with respect to the benefits of owning Shelton Tactical security.
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