Defi Technologies Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 2.69

DEFTF Stock  USD 3.69  0.46  14.24%   
DeFi Technologies' future price is the expected price of DeFi Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DeFi Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DeFi Technologies Backtesting, DeFi Technologies Valuation, DeFi Technologies Correlation, DeFi Technologies Hype Analysis, DeFi Technologies Volatility, DeFi Technologies History as well as DeFi Technologies Performance.
  
Please specify DeFi Technologies' target price for which you would like DeFi Technologies odds to be computed.

DeFi Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 2.69

The tendency of DeFi OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 2.69  or more in 90 days
 3.69 90 days 2.69 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DeFi Technologies to drop to $ 2.69  or more in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This DeFi Technologies probability density function shows the probability of DeFi OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DeFi Technologies price to stay between $ 2.69  and its current price of $3.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 2.92 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, DeFi Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally DeFi Technologies has an alpha of 0.8348, implying that it can generate a 0.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DeFi Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DeFi Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DeFi Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DeFi Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.193.829.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.189.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.083.9310.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.812.843.87
Details

DeFi Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DeFi Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DeFi Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DeFi Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DeFi Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.83
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.92
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

DeFi Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DeFi Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DeFi Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DeFi Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
DeFi Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
DeFi Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
DeFi Technologies has accumulated 50.26 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.79, which is about average as compared to similar companies. DeFi Technologies has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist DeFi Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, DeFi Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like DeFi Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for DeFi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about DeFi Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 15.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (71.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.08 M.
DeFi Technologies has accumulated about 5.67 M in cash with (326.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 12.0% of DeFi Technologies shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Mercurity Fintech Holding reports 1H results

DeFi Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DeFi OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DeFi Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DeFi Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding211.1 M

DeFi Technologies Technical Analysis

DeFi Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DeFi OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DeFi Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing DeFi OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DeFi Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

DeFi Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many DeFi Technologies' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DeFi Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DeFi Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about DeFi Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DeFi Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DeFi Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
DeFi Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
DeFi Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
DeFi Technologies has accumulated 50.26 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.79, which is about average as compared to similar companies. DeFi Technologies has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist DeFi Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, DeFi Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like DeFi Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for DeFi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about DeFi Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 15.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (71.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.08 M.
DeFi Technologies has accumulated about 5.67 M in cash with (326.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 12.0% of DeFi Technologies shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Mercurity Fintech Holding reports 1H results

Other Information on Investing in DeFi OTC Stock

DeFi Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether DeFi OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DeFi with respect to the benefits of owning DeFi Technologies security.