Dev Information (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 142.67
| DEVIT Stock | 171.79 3.38 1.93% |
Dev |
Dev Information Target Price Odds to finish below 142.67
The tendency of Dev Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 142.67 or more in 90 days |
| 171.79 | 90 days | 142.67 | about 14.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dev Information to drop to 142.67 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.65 (This Dev Information Technology probability density function shows the probability of Dev Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dev Information Tech price to stay between 142.67 and its current price of 171.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dev Information has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dev Information average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dev Information Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dev Information Technology has an alpha of 0.5021, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dev Information Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dev Information
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dev Information Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dev Information's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dev Information Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dev Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dev Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dev Information Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dev Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Dev Information Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dev Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dev Information Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dev Information Tech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Dev Information Tech is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Dev Information Technology has accumulated about 24.96 M in cash with (7.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Founder Of Dev Information Technology Sold 41 percent Of Their Shares - Simply Wall St |
Dev Information Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dev Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dev Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dev Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38.4 M |
Dev Information Technical Analysis
Dev Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dev Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dev Information Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dev Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dev Information Predictive Forecast Models
Dev Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dev Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dev Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dev Information Tech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dev Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dev Information Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dev Information Tech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Dev Information Tech is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Dev Information Technology has accumulated about 24.96 M in cash with (7.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Founder Of Dev Information Technology Sold 41 percent Of Their Shares - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Dev Stock
Dev Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dev Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dev with respect to the benefits of owning Dev Information security.