Nusa Konstruksi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 78.05
| DGIK Stock | IDR 79.00 2.00 2.47% |
Nusa |
Nusa Konstruksi Target Price Odds to finish below 78.05
The tendency of Nusa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 78.05 or more in 90 days |
| 79.00 | 90 days | 78.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nusa Konstruksi to drop to 78.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nusa Konstruksi Enjiniring probability density function shows the probability of Nusa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nusa Konstruksi Enji price to stay between 78.05 and its current price of 79.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nusa Konstruksi has a beta of 0.0751 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Nusa Konstruksi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nusa Konstruksi Enjiniring will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nusa Konstruksi Enjiniring has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nusa Konstruksi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nusa Konstruksi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nusa Konstruksi Enji. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nusa Konstruksi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nusa Konstruksi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nusa Konstruksi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nusa Konstruksi Enjiniring, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nusa Konstruksi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Nusa Konstruksi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nusa Konstruksi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nusa Konstruksi Enji can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nusa Konstruksi Enji generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nusa Konstruksi Enjiniring has accumulated about 174.35 B in cash with (58.05 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 31.57. | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Nusa Konstruksi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nusa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nusa Konstruksi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nusa Konstruksi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 116.3 B |
Nusa Konstruksi Technical Analysis
Nusa Konstruksi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nusa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nusa Konstruksi Enjiniring. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nusa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nusa Konstruksi Predictive Forecast Models
Nusa Konstruksi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nusa Konstruksi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nusa Konstruksi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nusa Konstruksi Enji
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nusa Konstruksi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nusa Konstruksi Enji help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nusa Konstruksi Enji generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nusa Konstruksi Enjiniring has accumulated about 174.35 B in cash with (58.05 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 31.57. | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Nusa Stock
Nusa Konstruksi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nusa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nusa with respect to the benefits of owning Nusa Konstruksi security.