CHRISTIAN DIOR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 143.63

DIO0 Stock  EUR 145.00  2.00  1.36%   
CHRISTIAN DIOR's future price is the expected price of CHRISTIAN DIOR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CHRISTIAN DIOR Backtesting, CHRISTIAN DIOR Valuation, CHRISTIAN DIOR Correlation, CHRISTIAN DIOR Hype Analysis, CHRISTIAN DIOR Volatility, CHRISTIAN DIOR History as well as CHRISTIAN DIOR Performance.
  
Please specify CHRISTIAN DIOR's target price for which you would like CHRISTIAN DIOR odds to be computed.

CHRISTIAN DIOR Target Price Odds to finish over 143.63

The tendency of CHRISTIAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 143.63  in 90 days
 145.00 90 days 143.63 
about 37.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHRISTIAN DIOR to stay above € 143.63  in 90 days from now is about 37.34 (This CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 probability density function shows the probability of CHRISTIAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 price to stay between € 143.63  and its current price of €145.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CHRISTIAN DIOR has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CHRISTIAN DIOR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2 has an alpha of 0.0694, implying that it can generate a 0.0694 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CHRISTIAN DIOR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CHRISTIAN DIOR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
142.64145.00147.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
126.84129.20159.50
Details

CHRISTIAN DIOR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHRISTIAN DIOR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHRISTIAN DIOR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHRISTIAN DIOR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
7.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

CHRISTIAN DIOR Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CHRISTIAN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CHRISTIAN DIOR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CHRISTIAN DIOR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0153
Forward Annual Dividend Rate2.99
Shares Float83.5 M

CHRISTIAN DIOR Technical Analysis

CHRISTIAN DIOR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHRISTIAN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHRISTIAN DIOR ADR14EO2. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHRISTIAN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CHRISTIAN DIOR Predictive Forecast Models

CHRISTIAN DIOR's time-series forecasting models is one of many CHRISTIAN DIOR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHRISTIAN DIOR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CHRISTIAN DIOR in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CHRISTIAN DIOR's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CHRISTIAN DIOR options trading.

Other Information on Investing in CHRISTIAN Stock

CHRISTIAN DIOR financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHRISTIAN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHRISTIAN with respect to the benefits of owning CHRISTIAN DIOR security.