Distoken Acquisition Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0171
| DISTW Stock | 0.02 0.01 25.31% |
Distoken |
Distoken Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0171
The tendency of Distoken Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 0.02 in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 78.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Distoken Acquisition to stay above 0.02 in 90 days from now is about 78.8 (This Distoken Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Distoken Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Distoken Acquisition price to stay between 0.02 and its current price of 0.018 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.17 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Distoken Acquisition will likely underperform. In addition to that Distoken Acquisition has an alpha of 8.1877, implying that it can generate a 8.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Distoken Acquisition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Distoken Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Distoken Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Distoken Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Distoken Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Distoken Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Distoken Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Distoken Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Distoken Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 8.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Distoken Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Distoken Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Distoken Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Distoken Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Distoken Acquisition is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Distoken Acquisition has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Distoken Acquisition appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Distoken Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Distoken Acquisition generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Distoken Acquisition has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Distoken Acquisition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Distoken Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Distoken Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Distoken Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.4 M |
Distoken Acquisition Technical Analysis
Distoken Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Distoken Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Distoken Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Distoken Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Distoken Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
Distoken Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Distoken Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Distoken Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Distoken Acquisition
Checking the ongoing alerts about Distoken Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Distoken Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Distoken Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Distoken Acquisition is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Distoken Acquisition has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Distoken Acquisition appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Distoken Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Distoken Acquisition generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Distoken Acquisition has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Additional Tools for Distoken Stock Analysis
When running Distoken Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Distoken Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Distoken Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Distoken Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Distoken Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Distoken Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Distoken Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.